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Posted January 16, 2017:
Augury and Inauguration
“Augur,” which means “to
predict the future based on signs and omens,” is the root word
of “inauguration.” What are the signs and omens as Donald Trump
is inaugurated this week? What do they augur for the future?
Well, one sign is that Trump did
first win the GOP nomination, and then against nearly universal
predications to the contrary, did win the general election (well
sort of). So writing him off (again) would not seem wise.
But there’s so much that sets the
alarm bells screaming. Trump’s crudeness is embarrassing. His
lack of discipline is alarming. He self-centeredness is
appalling. What does it all “augur” for the future? I don’t
know, but it doesn’t look good.
This we can say, just as Trump was a
most unorthodox candidate, all the signs indicate he will be a
highly unorthodox President. He will not be a politician like
any we have known in that office in my lifetime of what is now
near the biblical three score and ten.
But that may be why he has gotten as
far as he has.
Over at “What’s Tony Thinking?” I
link to an article about “Women Who Voted for Trump and Why”
from the New York Times. These Trump supporters speak in their
own words. One of the things that struck me is that a number of
these women who voted for Trump this time around had voted for
Obama in the past. What’s the takeaway?
They were looking for change.
Something different. Someone different.
So the question now is “what kind of
change are we going to get?” Among economists and trend-watchers
there is a lot of talk today about “disruption.” Nothing stays
established for long.
With Trump we’re in for disruption.
Might that have some unforeseen good outcomes from the
disruption? It’s possible. Certainly a lot of voters rolled the
dice hoping so. But there will be downsides, and unless Trump is
a big surprise to me and to many, my hunch the downsides will
outweigh the upsides.
Buckle your seats beats, ladies and
gentlemen. We’re in for a rough ride and it won’t be pretty.
Hope for the best, but prepare for the worst.